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Comparison of Financial Distress Prediction Models Evidence From Turkey   
Yazarlar (3)
Serkan Terzi
Çankırı Karatekin Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Prof. Dr. İlker Kıymetli ŞEN Prof. Dr. İlker Kıymetli ŞEN
İstanbul Ticaret Üniversitesi
Derya Üçoğlu
Türkiye
Devamını Göster
Özet
The purpose of this paper is to explore the differences and similarities between financial distress prediction (FDP) models and to determine which explanatory variables and methodologies are the most effective in prediction of financial distress. For this purpose, 167 manufacturing companies (full sample) listed in Istanbul Stock Exchange (ISE) were used. In total, 27 financial ratios were identified from previous literature studies as potentially significant and they were calculated for the years 2009 and 2010. In the study, logistic regression, artificial neural networks and decision tree methods, which are frequently used in the literature, have been employed. As a result, many of the financial ratios are found to be effective in predicting financial distress. Moreover, logistic regression and artificial neural network methods have indicated better prediction accuracy results of financial distress for classification of companies.
Anahtar Kelimeler
Makale Türü Özgün Makale
Makale Alt Türü SCOPUS dergilerinde yayınlanan tam makale
Dergi Adı EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF SOCIAL SCIENCES
Dergi ISSN 1450-2267
Dergi Tarandığı Indeksler Scopus
Makale Dili İngilizce
Basım Tarihi 08-2012
Cilt No 32
Sayı 4
Sayfalar 607 / 618
Makale Linki http://www.europeanjournalofsocialsciences.com/issues/EJSS_32_4.html
BM Sürdürülebilir Kalkınma Amaçları
Atıf Sayıları
Google Scholar 16

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